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Using sequences of life-events to predict human lives

  • Germans Savcisens
    ,
  • Tina Eliassi-Rad
    ,
  • Lars Kai Hansen
    ,
  • Laust Hvas Mortensen
    ,
  • Lau Lilleholt
    ,
  • Technical University of Denmark
    ,
  • Northeastern University
    ,
  • Danmarks Statistik
    ,
  • University of Copenhagen
    ,
Research Output:
Journal Article or Conference Article in Journal
Journal article
Peer-review

Open access

Publication Information

Output type

Research Output:
Journal Article or Conference Article in Journal
Journal article
Peer-review

Original language

English

Pages from-to (Number of pages)

Pages 43–56 (14 pages)

Journal (Volume, Issue Number)

Nature Computational Science (Volume 4)

Publication milestones

  • Published - 2024

Publication status

Published - 2024

ISSN

2662-8457

Publication IDs

  • Scopus: 85180261076

Abstract

Here we represent human lives in a way that shares structural similarity to language, and we exploit this similarity to adapt natural language processing techniques to examine the evolution and predictability of human lives based on detailed event sequences. We do this by drawing on a comprehensive registry dataset, which is available for Denmark across several years, and that includes information about life-events related to health, education, occupation, income, address and working hours, recorded with day-to-day resolution. We create embeddings of life-events in a single vector space, showing that this embedding space is robust and highly structured. Our models allow us to predict diverse outcomes ranging from early mortality to personality nuances, outperforming state-of-the-art models by a wide margin. Using methods for interpreting deep learning models, we probe the algorithm to understand the factors that enable our predictions. Our framework allows researchers to discover potential mechanisms that impact life outcomes as well as the associated possibilities for personalized interventions.

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